Who to start · 2025-26
Bryan Rust vs Mikhail Sergachev
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bryan Rust projects to 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikhail Sergachev's 2.15.
Rust had 65 points in 72 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games.
This week Rust has 1 game left; Sergachev has 2 left with 2 tough matchups. We project Sergachev for 3.0 ESPN points to Rust's 2.2.
They split the 33 stats both are ranked on 16–16.
Rust's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1019, Offensive-zone start % 63.3%, High-danger chances 51.4%.
Sergachev's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Transition attempts /60 0.49, Expected goals 51.1%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Bryan Rust
2.28
fantasy points per game
Mikhail Sergachev
2.12
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Bryan Rust has the edge.
| Points per game from | Rust | Sergachev |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.81 | 0.26 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.63 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.49 | 0.80 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Rust vs Sergachev
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Rust 7G 4A, 52 SOG · Sergachev 5G 8A, 32 SOG
Rust blocked 2 of Sergachev's shots; Sergachev blocked 0 of Rust's.
On the ice against each other (Rust's side)
12:29 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Rust's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–17
- 22.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.6
- 16.9%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Rust | Sergachev |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | PIT 4–3 UTA | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-12-14 | PIT 4–5 UTA | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-01-29 | PIT 3–2 UTA | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-23 | PIT 1–6 UTA | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-06 | PIT 1–3 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-30 | PIT 4–2 TBL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-03-02 | PIT 5–4 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2023-02-26 | PIT 7–3 TBL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-10-15 | PIT 6–2 TBL | 1G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-03 | PIT 5–1 TBL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-10-12 | PIT 6–2 TBL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2020-02-11 | PIT 1–2 TBL | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 19 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Bryan Rust
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ PHIOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL2.2 ptsOpp allows 12th-most FP to RWvs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Mikhail Sergachev
3games (2 left)
3.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Bryan Rust or Mikhail Sergachev in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bryan Rust projects to 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikhail Sergachev's 2.15. Rust had 65 points in 72 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Bryan Rust or Mikhail Sergachev?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 16–16 across 33 stats where both qualify.
- How have Rust and Sergachev done against each other?
- In 19 games against each other in our data, Rust's team went 10–9. Rust had 11 points (7 goals) and Sergachev had 13 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →