Who to start · 2025-26
Calle Jarnkrok vs Connor McDavid
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Calle Jarnkrok's 0.49.
Jarnkrok had 8 points in 56 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games.
This week Jarnkrok has 1 game left; McDavid has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Jarnkrok's 0.5.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 30 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Jarnkrok's biggest edges: Hardest shot 94.5, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.033, Goals above expected +1.5.
McDavid's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 47.7%, Assists 90, High-danger chances 57.5%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Calle Jarnkrok
0.49
fantasy points per game
Connor McDavid
3.21
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | Jarnkrok | McDavid |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.21 | 1.17 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.04 | 1.10 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.33 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.37 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Jarnkrok vs McDavid
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Jarnkrok 2G 4A, 28 SOG · McDavid 13G 27A, 74 SOG
Jarnkrok's offensive zone 0–2 · neutral 1–3 · Jarnkrok's defensive zone 1–2 (2017-18 to 2021-22)
Jarnkrok blocked 2 of McDavid's shots; McDavid blocked 0 of Jarnkrok's.
On the ice against each other (Jarnkrok's side)
4:06 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Jarnkrok's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–3
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.2
- 66.8%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Jarnkrok | McDavid |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | TOR 5–2 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-12-13 | TOR 3–6 EDM | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 1A 2S |
| 2024-01-16 | TOR 2–4 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2023-03-11 | TOR 7–4 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2023-03-01 | TOR 2–5 EDM | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 1A 3S |
| 2022-05-26 · PO | CGY 4–5 EDM | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2022-05-24 · PO | CGY 3–5 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2022-05-22 · PO | CGY 1–4 EDM | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 3A 3S |
| 2022-05-20 · PO | CGY 3–5 EDM | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2022-05-18 · PO | CGY 9–6 EDM | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 3A 5S |
| 2022-03-26 | CGY 9–5 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2021-12-18 | SEA 3–5 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 4S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Calle Jarnkrok
3games (1 left)
0.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT0.5 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Connor McDavid
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Calle Jarnkrok or Connor McDavid in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Calle Jarnkrok's 0.49. Jarnkrok had 8 points in 56 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Calle Jarnkrok or Connor McDavid?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 30 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Jarnkrok and McDavid done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Jarnkrok's team went 8–12. Jarnkrok had 6 points (2 goals) and McDavid had 40 (13 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Jarnkrok or McDavid?
- Against each other, Jarnkrok has won 2 and McDavid 7 of their 9 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →