Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Carter Verhaeghe vs Morgan Rielly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Rielly projects to 1.61 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Carter Verhaeghe's 1.50.

Verhaeghe had 55 points in 77 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week Verhaeghe has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Rielly has 1 left. We project Verhaeghe for 1.6 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.

Carter Verhaeghe has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Verhaeghe's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.014, Corsi 54.5%, Scoring chances 53.4%.

Rielly's biggest edges: Ascension score 60, Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 114.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Carter Verhaeghe

1.50

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Morgan Rielly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromVerhaegheRielly
Goals (+2)0.570.25
Assists (+1)0.400.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.17
Hits (+0.1)0.080.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Verhaeghe vs Rielly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

VerhaegheRielly
17Team record in 28 meetings11
18Points in those games16

Verhaeghe 11G 7A, 69 SOG · Rielly 4G 12A, 43 SOG

5Hits on each other5
0Shots blocked by the other7

Verhaeghe blocked 0 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 7 of Verhaeghe's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Verhaeghe's side)

7:17 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Verhaeghe's side

Shot attempts
11–6
64.7%
Expected goals
0.3–0.1
75.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Carter Verhaeghe and Morgan Rielly
DateScoreVerhaegheRielly
2026-02-26FLA 5–1 TOR1G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2026-01-06FLA 1–4 TOR1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-05-18 · POFLA 6–1 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-05-16 · POFLA 0–2 TOR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2025-05-14 · POFLA 6–1 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2025-05-11 · POFLA 2–0 TOR1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-05-09 · POFLA 5–4 TOR1G 1A 3S1G 0A 2S
2025-05-07 · POFLA 3–4 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2025-05-05 · POFLA 4–5 TOR0G 2A 5S1G 0A 3S
2025-04-08FLA 3–1 TOR1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-04-02FLA 2–3 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-13FLA 3–2 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 28 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

VerhaegheRielly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Carter Verhaeghe

3games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Carter Verhaeghe or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Rielly projects to 1.61 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Carter Verhaeghe's 1.50. Verhaeghe had 55 points in 77 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Carter Verhaeghe or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Carter Verhaeghe leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Verhaeghe and Rielly done against each other?
In 28 games against each other in our data, Verhaeghe's team went 17–11. Verhaeghe had 18 points (11 goals) and Rielly had 16 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →