Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Chandler Stephenson vs Eeli Tolvanen

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47.

Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games.

This week Stephenson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Tolvanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Stephenson for 2.9 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.

Chandler Stephenson has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Stephenson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 759, Goals above expected +2.9, Top skating speed 23.3.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hits 187, Transition attempts /60 1.47, Hardest shot 92.8.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Chandler Stephenson

1.47

fantasy points per game

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Eeli Tolvanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromStephensonTolvanen
Goals (+2)0.500.48
Assists (+1)0.390.26
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.07
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.120.17
Hits (+0.1)0.020.24
Blocks (+0.5)0.330.49

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Stephenson vs Tolvanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

StephensonTolvanen
7Team record in 9 meetings2
11Points in those games3

Stephenson 5G 6A, 21 SOG · Tolvanen 1G 2A, 18 SOG

0Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other0

Stephenson blocked 1 of Tolvanen's shots; Tolvanen blocked 0 of Stephenson's.

9Goals set up by the other8

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

643:39 at 5-on-5 over 65 games, 2025-26

Shot attempts
561–790
41.5%
Expected goals
21.6–31.8
40.5%
Goals
20–30

Games against each other

Games between Chandler Stephenson and Eeli Tolvanen
DateScoreStephensonTolvanen
2024-03-21VGK 3–1 SEA1G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2024-03-12VGK 5–4 SEA0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2024-01-01VGK 0–3 SEA0G 0A 1S1G 1A 2S
2023-10-10VGK 4–1 SEA1G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-04-13VGK 3–1 SEA1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-04-11VGK 4–1 SEA0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-24VGK 6–1 NSH1G 2A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-01-04VGK 2–3 NSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2021-11-24VGK 5–2 NSH1G 1A 5S0G 0A 6S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

StephensonTolvanen

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Chandler Stephenson

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.5 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Chandler Stephenson or Eeli Tolvanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47. Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Chandler Stephenson or Eeli Tolvanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Chandler Stephenson leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Stephenson and Tolvanen done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Stephenson's team went 7–2. Stephenson had 11 points (5 goals) and Tolvanen had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →