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Who to start · 2025-26

Chandler Stephenson vs Mathew Barzal

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mathew Barzal projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47.

Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games.

This week Stephenson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Barzal has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Stephenson for 2.9 ESPN points to Barzal's 1.4.

Mathew Barzal has the better number in 23 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Stephenson's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.036, Faceoff win % 52.1%, Goals above expected +2.9.

Barzal's biggest edges: Plus/minus +10, Fenwick 51.7%, Corsi 51.6%.

Head to head on the dot, Stephenson leads Barzal 20–6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Chandler Stephenson

1.42

fantasy points per game

Mathew Barzal

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mathew Barzal has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromStephensonBarzal
Goals (+2)0.400.47
Assists (+1)0.410.65
Power-play points (+0.5)0.100.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.120.23
Hits (+0.1)0.030.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.350.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Stephenson vs Barzal

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

StephensonBarzal
8Team record in 16 meetings8
6Points in those games7

Stephenson 0G 6A, 15 SOG · Barzal 3G 4A, 37 SOG

20Faceoffs against each other6

Stephenson's offensive zone 7–1 · neutral 4–1 · Stephenson's defensive zone 9–4 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Stephenson's side)

11:54 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Stephenson's side

Shot attempts
13–17
43.3%
Expected goals
0.6–0.8
44.8%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Chandler Stephenson and Mathew Barzal
DateScoreStephensonBarzal
2026-01-21SEA 4–1 NYI0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2025-11-23SEA 0–1 NYI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 6S
2024-01-23VGK 3–2 NYI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-06VGK 5–2 NYI0G 1A 0S1G 0A 1S
2023-01-28VGK 1–2 NYI0G 1A 3S1G 0A 6S
2022-12-17VGK 2–5 NYI0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2021-10-24VGK 0–2 NYI0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2020-02-15VGK 1–0 NYI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2019-12-05VGK 2–3 NYI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2019-10-04WSH 2–1 NYI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2019-04-06WSH 0–3 NYI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2019-01-18WSH 0–2 NYI0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

StephensonBarzal

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Chandler Stephenson

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.5 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Mathew Barzal

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Chandler Stephenson or Mathew Barzal in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mathew Barzal projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47. Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Chandler Stephenson or Mathew Barzal?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mathew Barzal leads in 23 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Stephenson and Barzal done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Stephenson's team went 8–8. Stephenson had 6 points (0 goals) and Barzal had 7 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Stephenson or Barzal?
Against each other, Stephenson has won 20 and Barzal 6 of their 26 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →