Who to start · 2025-26
Chandler Stephenson vs Thomas Harley
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47.
Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.
This week Stephenson has 2 games left; Harley has 1 left. We project Stephenson for 2.8 ESPN points to Harley's 1.9.
Thomas Harley has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Stephenson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.9, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.020, Ascension score 51.
Harley's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.38, High-danger chances 51.0%, Sequence xG 50.2%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Chandler Stephenson
1.47
fantasy points per game
Thomas Harley
1.82
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Thomas Harley has the edge.
| Points per game from | Stephenson | Harley |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.50 | 0.16 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.99 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Stephenson vs Harley
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Stephenson 4G 4A, 25 SOG · Harley 0G 9A, 32 SOG
Stephenson blocked 2 of Harley's shots; Harley blocked 0 of Stephenson's.
On the ice against each other (Stephenson's side)
8:00 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Stephenson's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–10
- 47.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.4
- 59.5%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Stephenson | Harley |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | SEA 1–4 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-11-09 | SEA 1–2 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-03-31 | SEA 1–3 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-29 | SEA 1–5 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-13 | SEA 0–2 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-05-05 · PO | VGK 1–2 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-05-03 · PO | VGK 2–0 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-05-01 · PO | VGK 2–3 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-29 · PO | VGK 2–4 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-27 · PO | VGK 2–3 DAL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-24 · PO | VGK 3–1 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-04-22 · PO | VGK 4–3 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Chandler Stephenson
3games (2 left)
2.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.4 pts
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.4 pts
Thomas Harley
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.9 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Chandler Stephenson or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47. Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Chandler Stephenson or Thomas Harley?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Thomas Harley leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Stephenson and Harley done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, Stephenson's team went 10–13. Stephenson had 8 points (4 goals) and Harley had 9 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →