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Who to start · 2025-26

Chandler Stephenson vs Vladimir Tarasenko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vladimir Tarasenko projects to 1.52 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47.

Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.

This week Stephenson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Stephenson for 2.9 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.

Vladimir Tarasenko has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Stephenson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 759, Top skating speed 23.3, 20+ mph bursts 169.

Tarasenko's biggest edges: Expected goals 49.3%, High-danger chances 49.3%, Transition attempts /60 1.12.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Chandler Stephenson

1.42

fantasy points per game

Vladimir Tarasenko

1.52

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Vladimir Tarasenko has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromStephensonTarasenko
Goals (+2)0.400.61
Assists (+1)0.410.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.100.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.120.20
Hits (+0.1)0.030.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.350.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Stephenson vs Tarasenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

StephensonTarasenko
7Team record in 18 meetings11
15Points in those games18

Stephenson 5G 10A, 25 SOG · Tarasenko 8G 10A, 52 SOG

0Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other1

Stephenson blocked 1 of Tarasenko's shots; Tarasenko blocked 1 of Stephenson's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Stephenson's side)

6:42 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Stephenson's side

Shot attempts
7–8
46.7%
Expected goals
0.3–0.7
30.2%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Chandler Stephenson and Vladimir Tarasenko
DateScoreStephensonTarasenko
2026-04-07SEA 2–5 MIN0G 1A 0S1G 0A 2S
2026-01-08SEA 2–3 MIN0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-08SEA 1–4 MIN0G 1A 4S1G 0A 2S
2025-02-04SEA 4–5 DET1G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2025-01-12SEA 2–6 DET0G 0A 2S0G 2A 0S
2024-02-24VGK 3–4 OTT2G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-23VGK 5–4 STL1G 3A 3S1G 2A 6S
2022-11-12VGK 2–3 STL0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2022-04-29VGK 7–4 STL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2021-11-22VGK 2–5 STL1G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2021-10-20VGK 1–3 STL0G 0A 2S1G 0A 7S
2021-04-07VGK 1–3 STL0G 0A 2S1G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

StephensonTarasenko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Chandler Stephenson

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.5 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Vladimir Tarasenko

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

FAQ

Should I start Chandler Stephenson or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vladimir Tarasenko projects to 1.52 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47. Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Chandler Stephenson or Vladimir Tarasenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Vladimir Tarasenko leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Stephenson and Tarasenko done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Stephenson's team went 7–11. Stephenson had 15 points (5 goals) and Tarasenko had 18 (8 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →