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Who to start · 2025-26

Charlie Coyle vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Charlie Coyle's 1.82.

Coyle had 58 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Coyle has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Coyle's 1.1.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 28 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Coyle's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.018, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.61, Ascension score 55.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 71.8%, Goals above expected +4.3, Offensive-zone time 46.6%.

Head to head on the dot, MacKinnon leads Coyle 25–18.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Charlie Coyle

1.82

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCoyleMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.461.49
Assists (+1)0.620.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.46
Hits (+0.1)0.140.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.330.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Coyle vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CoyleMacKinnon
8Team record in 18 meetings10
11Points in those games19

Coyle 4G 7A, 37 SOG · MacKinnon 8G 11A, 77 SOG

18Faceoffs against each other25

Coyle's offensive zone 6–4 · neutral 7–14 · Coyle's defensive zone 5–7 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other2
0Shots blocked by the other2

Coyle blocked 0 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 2 of Coyle's.

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Coyle's side)

12:52 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Coyle's side

Shot attempts
23–21
52.3%
Expected goals
0.5–0.9
36.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Charlie Coyle and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreCoyleMacKinnon
2026-01-10CBJ 0–4 COL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 8S
2025-10-16CBJ 1–4 COL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-25BOS 3–1 COL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 8S
2024-10-16BOS 5–3 COL1G 0A 3S0G 2A 1S
2024-01-18BOS 5–2 COL0G 2A 2S1G 0A 6S
2024-01-08BOS 3–4 COL0G 1A 4S0G 1A 4S
2022-12-03BOS 5–1 COL0G 1A 4S0G 0A 4S
2022-01-26BOS 3–4 COL1G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-02-21BOS 5–1 COL1G 0A 2S1G 0A 7S
2019-12-07BOS 1–4 COL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 5S
2019-10-10BOS 2–4 COL0G 0A 1S1G 1A 3S
2019-01-23MIN 5–2 COL1G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CoyleMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Charlie Coyle

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Charlie Coyle or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Charlie Coyle's 1.82. Coyle had 58 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Charlie Coyle or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 28 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Coyle and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Coyle's team went 8–10. Coyle had 11 points (4 goals) and MacKinnon had 19 (8 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Coyle or MacKinnon?
Against each other, Coyle has won 18 and MacKinnon 25 of their 43 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →