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Who to start · 2025-26

Charlie McAvoy vs Dylan Guenther

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Guenther's 2.36.

McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Guenther had 73 in 79 games.

This week McAvoy has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Guenther has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Guenther for 3.5 ESPN points to McAvoy's 1.7.

Dylan Guenther has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

McAvoy's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 129, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.059.

Guenther's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.2%, Corsi 53.1%, Hardest shot 91.4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 2 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Charlie McAvoy

2.41

fantasy points per game

Dylan Guenther

2.15

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Charlie McAvoy has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcAvoyGuenther
Goals (+2)0.321.01
Assists (+1)0.720.42
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.31
Hits (+0.1)0.110.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McAvoy vs Guenther

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McAvoyGuenther
2Team record in 5 meetings3
1Points in those games3

McAvoy 0G 1A, 9 SOG · Guenther 2G 1A, 9 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other0

McAvoy blocked 1 of Guenther's shots; Guenther blocked 0 of McAvoy's.

On the ice against each other (McAvoy's side)

6:46 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McAvoy's side

Shot attempts
5–9
35.7%
Expected goals
0.5–0.0
92.1%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Charlie McAvoy and Dylan Guenther
DateScoreMcAvoyGuenther
2025-12-16BOS 4–1 UTA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-19BOS 2–3 UTA0G 1A 3S1G 0A 2S
2024-11-21BOS 1–0 UTA0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-19BOS 1–2 UTA0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-09BOS 3–4 ARI0G 0A 3S1G 1A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McAvoyGuenther

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Charlie McAvoy

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Likely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −12.7 win%Likely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Dylan Guenther

3games (2 left)

3.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.6 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Charlie McAvoy or Dylan Guenther in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Guenther's 2.36. McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Guenther had 73 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Charlie McAvoy or Dylan Guenther?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Guenther leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McAvoy and Guenther done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, McAvoy's team went 2–3. McAvoy had 1 points (0 goals) and Guenther had 3 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →