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Who to start · 2025-26

Charlie McAvoy vs Erik Karlsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96.

McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games.

This week McAvoy has 1 game left; Karlsson has 1 left. We project McAvoy for 2.1 ESPN points to Karlsson's 1.6.

Erik Karlsson has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

McAvoy's biggest edges: Hits 79, Blocked shots 129, Penalty minutes 62.

Karlsson's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.4%, Corsi 54.0%, Scoring chances 53.7%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Charlie McAvoy

2.41

fantasy points per game

Erik Karlsson

1.94

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Charlie McAvoy has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcAvoyKarlsson
Goals (+2)0.320.40
Assists (+1)0.720.68
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.23
Hits (+0.1)0.110.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.43

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McAvoy vs Karlsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McAvoyKarlsson
12Team record in 15 meetings3
11Points in those games8

McAvoy 3G 8A, 18 SOG · Karlsson 1G 7A, 52 SOG

4Shots blocked by the other0

McAvoy blocked 4 of Karlsson's shots; Karlsson blocked 0 of McAvoy's.

On the ice against each other (McAvoy's side)

14:34 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from McAvoy's side

Shot attempts
8–18
30.8%
Expected goals
0.3–0.7
29.2%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Charlie McAvoy and Erik Karlsson
DateScoreMcAvoyKarlsson
2026-03-08BOS 4–5 PIT0G 1A 3S0G 2A 6S
2026-03-03BOS 2–1 PIT0G 0A 2S1G 0A 6S
2026-01-11BOS 1–0 PIT0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-29BOS 1–2 PIT0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2024-04-13BOS 6–4 PIT0G 1A 1S0G 1A 5S
2024-03-09BOS 5–1 PIT0G 0A 0S0G 0A 9S
2024-01-04BOS 5–6 PIT0G 2A 1S0G 2A 0S
2023-01-22BOS 4–0 SJS1G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-01-07BOS 4–2 SJS0G 2A 2S0G 0A 4S
2021-10-24BOS 4–3 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2019-10-29BOS 5–1 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2019-02-26BOS 4–1 SJS1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McAvoyKarlsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Charlie McAvoy

3games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B2.1 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

Erik Karlsson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.6 pts

FAQ

Should I start Charlie McAvoy or Erik Karlsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96. McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Charlie McAvoy or Erik Karlsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McAvoy and Karlsson done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, McAvoy's team went 12–3. McAvoy had 11 points (3 goals) and Karlsson had 8 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →