Who to start · 2025-26
Charlie McAvoy vs Jake Guentzel
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake Guentzel's 2.21.
McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games.
This week McAvoy has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Guentzel has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McAvoy for 1.7 ESPN points to Guentzel's 1.5.
Jake Guentzel has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
McAvoy's biggest edges: Hits 79, Hardest shot 93.0, Top skating speed 22.4.
Guentzel's biggest edges: Scoring chances 56.2%, High-danger chances 55.6%, Corsi 53.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Charlie McAvoy
2.41
fantasy points per game
Jake Guentzel
2.33
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Charlie McAvoy has the edge.
| Points per game from | McAvoy | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.32 | 0.94 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.72 | 0.62 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.93 | 0.25 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McAvoy vs Guentzel
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McAvoy 2G 15A, 41 SOG · Guentzel 14G 12A, 67 SOG
McAvoy blocked 3 of Guentzel's shots; Guentzel blocked 3 of McAvoy's.
On the ice against each other (McAvoy's side)
24:28 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from McAvoy's side
- Shot attempts
- 29–15
- 65.9%
- Expected goals
- 1.3–0.7
- 65.3%
- Goals
- 3–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McAvoy | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | BOS 1–2 TBL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-04-04 | BOS 1–3 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-02-01 | BOS 5–6 TBL | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2025-10-13 | BOS 3–4 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2025-01-09 | BOS 1–4 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-09 | BOS 1–4 CAR | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-04 | BOS 4–1 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2024-01-04 | BOS 5–6 PIT | 0G 2A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-04-01 | BOS 4–3 PIT | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-01-02 | BOS 2–1 PIT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-04-21 | BOS 0–4 PIT | 0G 0A 4S | 3G 0A 5S |
| 2022-04-16 | BOS 2–1 PIT | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 27 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Charlie McAvoy
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ WPGOpp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −12.7 win%Likely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
Jake Guentzel
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Charlie McAvoy or Jake Guentzel in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake Guentzel's 2.21. McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Charlie McAvoy or Jake Guentzel?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McAvoy and Guentzel done against each other?
- In 27 games against each other in our data, McAvoy's team went 12–15. McAvoy had 17 points (2 goals) and Guentzel had 26 (14 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →