Who to start · 2025-26
Charlie McAvoy vs John Carlson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10.
McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games.
This week McAvoy has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Carlson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McAvoy for 1.7 ESPN points to Carlson's 1.6.
Charlie McAvoy has the better number in 16 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
McAvoy's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.059, Hits 79, 20+ mph bursts 75.
Carlson's biggest edges: Corsi 54.5%, Hardest shot 99.8, High-danger chances 54.5%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Charlie McAvoy
2.41
fantasy points per game
John Carlson
2.14
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Charlie McAvoy has the edge.
| Points per game from | McAvoy | Carlson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.72 | 0.65 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.93 | 0.75 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McAvoy vs Carlson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McAvoy 1G 17A, 40 SOG · Carlson 6G 12A, 58 SOG
McAvoy blocked 6 of Carlson's shots; Carlson blocked 2 of McAvoy's.
On the ice against each other (McAvoy's side)
7:17 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from McAvoy's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–8
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.4
- 9.9%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McAvoy | Carlson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-08 | BOS 3–1 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-12-31 | BOS 1–3 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-12-23 | BOS 4–1 WSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-15 | BOS 0–2 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-30 | BOS 3–2 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-10 | BOS 0–3 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-04-11 | BOS 5–2 WSH | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-04-10 | BOS 2–4 WSH | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2022-01-10 | BOS 7–3 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-05-23 · PO | BOS 3–1 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-05-21 · PO | BOS 4–1 WSH | 0G 3A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2021-05-19 · PO | BOS 3–2 WSH | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 27 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Charlie McAvoy
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ WPGOpp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
John Carlson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Charlie McAvoy or John Carlson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10. McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Charlie McAvoy or John Carlson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Charlie McAvoy leads in 16 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McAvoy and Carlson done against each other?
- In 27 games against each other in our data, McAvoy's team went 14–13. McAvoy had 18 points (1 goals) and Carlson had 18 (6 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →