Who to start · 2025-26
Charlie McAvoy vs Mattias Samuelsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01.
McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.
This week McAvoy has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Samuelsson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to McAvoy's 1.7.
They split the 33 stats both are ranked on 16–16.
McAvoy's biggest edges: Power-play share 68.4%, Power-play time per game 3:02, Power-play points 22.
Samuelsson's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.38, Hardest shot 98.1, Shorthanded points 3.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Charlie McAvoy
2.41
fantasy points per game
Mattias Samuelsson
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Charlie McAvoy has the edge.
| Points per game from | McAvoy | Samuelsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.72 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.93 | 0.99 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McAvoy vs Samuelsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McAvoy 0G 13A, 34 SOG · Samuelsson 3G 5A, 23 SOG
McAvoy blocked 2 of Samuelsson's shots; Samuelsson blocked 3 of McAvoy's.
On the ice against each other (McAvoy's side)
63:15 at 5-on-5 over 10 games, 2025-26, from McAvoy's side
- Shot attempts
- 53–52
- 50.5%
- Expected goals
- 1.3–1.9
- 40.2%
- Goals
- 3–4
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McAvoy | Samuelsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 · PO | BOS 1–4 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-04-28 · PO | BOS 2–1 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-04-26 · PO | BOS 1–6 BUF | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-04-23 · PO | BOS 1–3 BUF | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-04-21 · PO | BOS 4–2 BUF | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-04-19 · PO | BOS 3–4 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-03-25 | BOS 4–3 BUF | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-27 | BOS 1–4 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2025-10-30 | BOS 4–3 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-11 | BOS 3–1 BUF | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-12-21 | BOS 3–1 BUF | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-12-27 | BOS 4–1 BUF | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 22 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Charlie McAvoy
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ WPGLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
Mattias Samuelsson
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Charlie McAvoy or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01. McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Charlie McAvoy or Mattias Samuelsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 16–16 across 33 stats where both qualify.
- How have McAvoy and Samuelsson done against each other?
- In 22 games against each other in our data, McAvoy's team went 14–8. McAvoy had 13 points (0 goals) and Samuelsson had 8 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →