Who to start · 2025-26
Charlie McAvoy vs Nikolaj Ehlers
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65.
McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games.
This week McAvoy has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Ehlers has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Ehlers for 1.8 ESPN points to McAvoy's 1.7.
Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
McAvoy's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1026, Faceoffs won 0, Penalty minutes 62.
Ehlers's biggest edges: Corsi 60.6%, Scoring chances 58.5%, Offensive-zone time 46.9%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Charlie McAvoy
2.41
fantasy points per game
Nikolaj Ehlers
1.78
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Charlie McAvoy has the edge.
| Points per game from | McAvoy | Ehlers |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.32 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.72 | 0.55 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.93 | 0.15 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McAvoy vs Ehlers
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McAvoy 2G 6A, 17 SOG · Ehlers 3G 7A, 34 SOG
McAvoy blocked 2 of Ehlers's shots; Ehlers blocked 0 of McAvoy's.
On the ice against each other (McAvoy's side)
16:19 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McAvoy's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–17
- 32.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.9
- 40.9%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McAvoy | Ehlers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | BOS 5–6 CAR | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-01 | BOS 2–1 CAR | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-01-30 | BOS 2–6 WPG | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-01-22 | BOS 4–1 WPG | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-12-22 | BOS 1–5 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-03-16 | BOS 3–0 WPG | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-18 | BOS 4–2 WPG | 1G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2020-01-31 | BOS 2–1 WPG | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2020-01-09 | BOS 5–4 WPG | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2019-03-14 | BOS 3–4 WPG | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2017-12-21 | BOS 2–1 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Charlie McAvoy
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ WPGOpp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
Nikolaj Ehlers
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Charlie McAvoy or Nikolaj Ehlers in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65. McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Charlie McAvoy or Nikolaj Ehlers?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McAvoy and Ehlers done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, McAvoy's team went 7–4. McAvoy had 8 points (2 goals) and Ehlers had 10 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →