Who to start · 2025-26
Charlie McAvoy vs Pavel Buchnevich
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.
This week McAvoy has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project McAvoy for 1.7 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.
Charlie McAvoy has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
McAvoy's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.56, Top skating speed 22.4, Plus/minus +13.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Hardest shot 88.9, Sequence xG 52.5%, Expected goals 52.5%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Charlie McAvoy
2.41
fantasy points per game
Pavel Buchnevich
1.39
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Charlie McAvoy has the edge.
| Points per game from | McAvoy | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.32 | 0.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.72 | 0.35 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.93 | 0.25 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McAvoy vs Buchnevich
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McAvoy 7G 7A, 37 SOG · Buchnevich 6G 13A, 44 SOG
McAvoy blocked 3 of Buchnevich's shots; Buchnevich blocked 1 of McAvoy's.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McAvoy | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-16 | BOS 2–3 STL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-12 | BOS 3–2 STL | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-03-11 | BOS 1–5 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-01-13 | BOS 4–3 STL | 2G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-04-19 | BOS 3–2 STL | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2022-04-12 | BOS 2–4 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2021-05-08 | BOS 4–5 NYR | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 3A 4S |
| 2021-03-13 | BOS 0–4 NYR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2021-03-11 | BOS 4–0 NYR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-02-28 | BOS 4–1 NYR | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-02-26 | BOS 2–6 NYR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2021-02-12 | BOS 1–0 NYR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 21 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Charlie McAvoy
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ WPGOpp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Charlie McAvoy or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Charlie McAvoy or Pavel Buchnevich?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Charlie McAvoy leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McAvoy and Buchnevich done against each other?
- In 21 games against each other in our data, McAvoy's team went 11–10. McAvoy had 14 points (7 goals) and Buchnevich had 19 (6 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →