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Who to start · 2025-26

Charlie McAvoy vs Tom Wilson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24.

McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.

This week McAvoy has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Wilson for 2.3 ESPN points to McAvoy's 1.7.

Tom Wilson has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

McAvoy's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.29, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.059.

Wilson's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.51, Scoring chances 56.3%, High-danger chances 56.3%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Charlie McAvoy

2.41

fantasy points per game

Tom Wilson

2.20

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Charlie McAvoy has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcAvoyWilson
Goals (+2)0.320.83
Assists (+1)0.720.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.21
Hits (+0.1)0.110.25
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.37

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McAvoy vs Wilson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McAvoyWilson
16Team record in 28 meetings12
22Points in those games15

McAvoy 4G 18A, 47 SOG · Wilson 6G 9A, 62 SOG

8Hits on each other8
4Shots blocked by the other5

McAvoy blocked 4 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 5 of McAvoy's.

On the ice against each other (McAvoy's side)

15:53 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from McAvoy's side

Shot attempts
9–15
37.5%
Expected goals
0.2–0.5
31.6%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Charlie McAvoy and Tom Wilson
DateScoreMcAvoyWilson
2026-03-14BOS 3–2 WSH2G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2026-03-07BOS 3–1 WSH0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-08BOS 3–1 WSH0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S
2024-12-31BOS 1–3 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 2A 5S
2024-12-23BOS 4–1 WSH0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-15BOS 0–2 WSH0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2024-02-10BOS 0–3 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-04-11BOS 5–2 WSH0G 1A 3S1G 0A 6S
2022-04-10BOS 2–4 WSH0G 1A 3S1G 0A 2S
2022-01-20BOS 4–3 WSH1G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2022-01-10BOS 7–3 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2021-05-23 · POBOS 3–1 WSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 28 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McAvoyWilson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Charlie McAvoy

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Likely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −12.7 win%Likely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Tom Wilson

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Charlie McAvoy or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24. McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Charlie McAvoy or Tom Wilson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McAvoy and Wilson done against each other?
In 28 games against each other in our data, McAvoy's team went 16–12. McAvoy had 22 points (4 goals) and Wilson had 15 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →