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Who to start · 2025-26

Charlie McAvoy vs Tomas Hertl

Charlie McAvoyCharlie McAvoyBruins · DefencevsTomas HertlTomas HertlGolden Knights · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.

McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.

This week McAvoy has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hertl for 2.0 ESPN points to McAvoy's 1.7.

Tomas Hertl has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

McAvoy's biggest edges: Luck Meter +60, On-ice PDO 1026, Goals above expected +1.0.

Hertl's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.2%, Offensive-zone time 47.7%, Scoring chances 56.7%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Charlie McAvoy

2.41

fantasy points per game

Tomas Hertl

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Charlie McAvoy has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcAvoyHertl
Goals (+2)0.320.59
Assists (+1)0.720.41
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.25
Hits (+0.1)0.110.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.27

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McAvoy vs Hertl

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McAvoyHertl
12Team record in 14 meetings2
10Points in those games6

McAvoy 4G 6A, 27 SOG · Hertl 4G 2A, 43 SOG

3Hits on each other3
1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (McAvoy's side)

8:19 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McAvoy's side

Shot attempts
8–11
42.1%
Expected goals
0.4–0.5
45.2%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Charlie McAvoy and Tomas Hertl
DateScoreMcAvoyHertl
2026-01-22BOS 4–3 VGK1G 0A 4S1G 0A 9S
2025-10-16BOS 5–6 VGK0G 1A 1S1G 0A 6S
2025-02-08BOS 3–4 VGK0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2023-11-30BOS 3–0 SJS0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-10-19BOS 3–1 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2023-01-22BOS 4–0 SJS1G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-01-07BOS 4–2 SJS0G 2A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-02-26BOS 3–1 SJS0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2021-10-24BOS 4–3 SJS0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2019-10-29BOS 5–1 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2019-02-26BOS 4–1 SJS1G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2019-02-18BOS 6–5 SJS1G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McAvoyHertl

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Charlie McAvoy

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Tomas Hertl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Charlie McAvoy or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Charlie McAvoy or Tomas Hertl?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McAvoy and Hertl done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, McAvoy's team went 12–2. McAvoy had 10 points (4 goals) and Hertl had 6 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →