Who to start · 2025-26
Christian Dvorak vs Erik Karlsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.
Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games.
This week Dvorak has 1 game left; Karlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Karlsson for 1.3 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.
Erik Karlsson has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Dvorak's biggest edges: Blocked shots 52, Shorthanded points 2, Penalty minutes 27.
Karlsson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.1, Hardest shot 96.6, Corsi 54.0%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Christian Dvorak
1.42
fantasy points per game
Erik Karlsson
1.96
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Erik Karlsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Dvorak | Karlsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.36 | 0.70 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.19 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 0.43 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Dvorak vs Karlsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Dvorak 6G 10A, 51 SOG · Karlsson 5G 16A, 91 SOG
Dvorak blocked 1 of Karlsson's shots; Karlsson blocked 0 of Dvorak's.
On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)
50:52 at 5-on-5 over 10 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Dvorak's side
- Shot attempts
- 51–45
- 53.1%
- Expected goals
- 2.4–1.4
- 63.5%
- Goals
- 3–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dvorak | Karlsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | PHI 0–7 PIT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2026-04-29 · PO | PHI 1–0 PIT | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-04-27 · PO | PHI 2–3 PIT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-04-25 · PO | PHI 2–4 PIT | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-04-22 · PO | PHI 5–2 PIT | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-04-20 · PO | PHI 3–0 PIT | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-04-18 · PO | PHI 3–2 PIT | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2026-03-07 | PHI 4–3 PIT | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-01 | PHI 1–5 PIT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-10-28 | PHI 3–2 PIT | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2024-12-12 | MTL 2–9 PIT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-11-02 | MTL 1–3 PIT | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 4S |
Latest 12 of 31 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Christian Dvorak
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Erik Karlsson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ PHIOpp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to Dvs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Christian Dvorak or Erik Karlsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Christian Dvorak or Erik Karlsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Dvorak and Karlsson done against each other?
- In 31 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 17–14. Dvorak had 16 points (6 goals) and Karlsson had 21 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →