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Who to start · 2025-26

Christian Dvorak vs J.T. Miller

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.

Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games.

This week Dvorak has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Miller has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Miller for 1.5 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.

J.T. Miller has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Dvorak's biggest edges: Plus/minus +11, On-ice PDO 1027, Luck Meter +2.

Miller's biggest edges: Hardest shot 102.6, Hits 123, Offensive-zone time 44.9%.

Head to head on the dot, Miller leads Dvorak 25–12.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Christian Dvorak

1.42

fantasy points per game

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, J.T. Miller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDvorakMiller
Goals (+2)0.400.42
Assists (+1)0.360.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.20
Hits (+0.1)0.060.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.380.26

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Dvorak vs Miller

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DvorakMiller
5Team record in 13 meetings8
6Points in those games14

Dvorak 2G 4A, 25 SOG · Miller 2G 12A, 24 SOG

12Faceoffs against each other25

Dvorak's offensive zone 3–9 · neutral 8–8 · Dvorak's defensive zone 1–8 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)

11:52 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Dvorak's side

Shot attempts
9–13
40.9%
Expected goals
0.3–0.7
33.2%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between Christian Dvorak and J.T. Miller
DateScoreDvorakMiller
2026-02-26PHI 3–2 NYR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2026-01-17PHI 3–6 NYR0G 0A 2S0G 2A 2S
2025-01-06MTL 5–4 VAN0G 0A 0S2G 2A 3S
2023-11-12MTL 2–5 VAN0G 0A 2S0G 2A 2S
2022-12-05MTL 6–7 VAN1G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2022-11-09MTL 5–2 VAN0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2021-11-29MTL 1–2 VAN0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2020-03-04ARI 4–2 VAN0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2020-01-16ARI 1–3 VAN1G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2019-03-18ARI 1–4 TBL0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2018-03-26ARI 4–1 TBL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2018-01-06ARI 1–2 NYR0G 1A 7S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DvorakMiller

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Christian Dvorak

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Christian Dvorak or J.T. Miller in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Christian Dvorak or J.T. Miller?
On 2025-26 numbers, J.T. Miller leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dvorak and Miller done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 5–8. Dvorak had 6 points (2 goals) and Miller had 14 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Dvorak or Miller?
Against each other, Dvorak has won 12 and Miller 25 of their 37 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →