Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Christian Dvorak vs Mathew Barzal

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mathew Barzal projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.

Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games.

This week Dvorak has 1 game left; Barzal has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Barzal for 1.4 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.

Mathew Barzal has the better number in 22 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Dvorak's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 54.5%, Draw Equity /100 +0.056, Shorthanded points 2.

Barzal's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.4%, Fenwick 51.7%, Corsi 51.6%.

Head to head on the dot, Dvorak leads Barzal 12–11.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Christian Dvorak

1.47

fantasy points per game

Mathew Barzal

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mathew Barzal has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDvorakBarzal
Goals (+2)0.450.47
Assists (+1)0.410.65
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.23
Hits (+0.1)0.050.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.330.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Dvorak vs Barzal

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DvorakBarzal
7Team record in 16 meetings9
6Points in those games6

Dvorak 2G 4A, 25 SOG · Barzal 1G 5A, 34 SOG

12Faceoffs against each other11

Dvorak's offensive zone 1–3 · neutral 4–1 · Dvorak's defensive zone 7–7 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

0Hits on each other1
3Shots blocked by the other0

Dvorak blocked 3 of Barzal's shots; Barzal blocked 0 of Dvorak's.

On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)

14:49 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Dvorak's side

Shot attempts
3–27
10.0%
Expected goals
0.1–1.0
8.2%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Christian Dvorak and Mathew Barzal
DateScoreDvorakBarzal
2026-04-03PHI 4–1 NYI0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2026-01-26PHI 0–4 NYI0G 0A 1S1G 1A 1S
2025-11-28PHI 4–3 NYI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-25PHI 4–3 NYI1G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-19MTL 3–4 NYI0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2024-04-11MTL 2–3 NYI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-16MTL 5–3 NYI1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-02-11MTL 4–3 NYI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-01-14MTL 1–2 NYI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S
2022-04-15MTL 0–3 NYI0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2021-11-04MTL 2–6 NYI0G 1A 5S0G 0A 3S
2020-02-17ARI 2–1 NYI0G 1A 4S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DvorakBarzal

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Christian Dvorak

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Mathew Barzal

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Christian Dvorak or Mathew Barzal in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mathew Barzal projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Christian Dvorak or Mathew Barzal?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mathew Barzal leads in 22 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dvorak and Barzal done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 7–9. Dvorak had 6 points (2 goals) and Barzal had 6 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Dvorak or Barzal?
Against each other, Dvorak has won 12 and Barzal 11 of their 23 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →