Who to start · 2025-26
Christian Dvorak vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.
Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week Dvorak has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 30 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Dvorak's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.027, Shorthanded points 2, Blocked shots 52.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.3, Corsi 57.6%, Fenwick 56.0%.
Head to head on the dot, Dvorak leads MacKinnon 44–29.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Christian Dvorak
1.42
fantasy points per game
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | Dvorak | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.40 | 1.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.36 | 0.87 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.21 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.46 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Dvorak vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Dvorak 3G 3A, 26 SOG · MacKinnon 4G 15A, 76 SOG
Dvorak's offensive zone 13–6 · neutral 17–9 · Dvorak's defensive zone 14–14 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Dvorak blocked 4 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 0 of Dvorak's.
On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)
17:45 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Dvorak's side
- Shot attempts
- 16–29
- 35.6%
- Expected goals
- 1.6–0.6
- 73.6%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dvorak | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | PHI 7–3 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2025-12-07 | PHI 2–3 COL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2025-03-22 | MTL 4–5 COL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2025-01-04 | MTL 2–1 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-01-22 | MTL 2–3 COL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2021-12-02 | MTL 1–4 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2021-03-23 | ARI 5–4 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 2A 8S |
| 2021-03-22 | ARI 1–5 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2021-03-10 | ARI 1–2 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 10S |
| 2021-02-27 | ARI 2–6 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 7S |
| 2021-02-26 | ARI 2–3 COL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2021-04-12 | ARI 2–4 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 19 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Christian Dvorak
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Christian Dvorak or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Christian Dvorak or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 30 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Dvorak and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 19 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 5–14. Dvorak had 6 points (3 goals) and MacKinnon had 19 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Dvorak or MacKinnon?
- Against each other, Dvorak has won 44 and MacKinnon 29 of their 73 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →