Who to start · 2025-26
Christian Dvorak vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.
Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Dvorak has 1 game left; Aho has 1 left. We project Aho for 1.8 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.3.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 25 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Dvorak's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1027, Blocked shots 52, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.027.
Aho's biggest edges: Fenwick 60.3%, Corsi 61.5%, Scoring chances 57.5%.
Head to head on the dot, Dvorak leads Aho 38–25.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Christian Dvorak
1.42
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.
| Points per game from | Dvorak | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.40 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.36 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Dvorak vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Dvorak 1G 3A, 26 SOG · Aho 7G 13A, 37 SOG
Dvorak's offensive zone 7–4 · neutral 10–6 · Dvorak's defensive zone 21–15 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Dvorak blocked 1 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 0 of Dvorak's.
On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)
24:18 at 5-on-5 over 6 games, 2025-26, from Dvorak's side
- Shot attempts
- 25–21
- 54.3%
- Expected goals
- 1.2–1.0
- 54.9%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dvorak | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 · PO | PHI 2–3 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-05-07 · PO | PHI 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2026-05-04 · PO | PHI 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-05-02 · PO | PHI 0–3 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-14 | PHI 2–3 CAR | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-13 | PHI 3–4 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-11 | PHI 3–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-03-28 | MTL 1–4 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-02-25 | MTL 4–0 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-28 | MTL 3–5 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 4A 2S |
| 2023-03-07 | MTL 3–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-02-16 | MTL 2–6 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 18 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Christian Dvorak
3games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.3 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Christian Dvorak or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Christian Dvorak or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 25 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Dvorak and Aho done against each other?
- In 18 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 2–16. Dvorak had 4 points (1 goals) and Aho had 20 (7 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Dvorak or Aho?
- Against each other, Dvorak has won 38 and Aho 25 of their 63 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →