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Who to start · 2025-26

Christian Dvorak vs Vladimir Tarasenko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vladimir Tarasenko projects to 1.52 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.

Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.

This week Dvorak has 1 game left; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tarasenko for 1.2 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.

Christian Dvorak has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Dvorak's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 629, 20+ mph bursts 199, Plus/minus +11.

Tarasenko's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.0, Luck Meter +35, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.37.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Christian Dvorak

1.47

fantasy points per game

Vladimir Tarasenko

1.52

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Vladimir Tarasenko has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDvorakTarasenko
Goals (+2)0.450.61
Assists (+1)0.410.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.20
Hits (+0.1)0.050.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.330.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Dvorak vs Tarasenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DvorakTarasenko
8Team record in 10 meetings2
11Points in those games4

Dvorak 5G 6A, 19 SOG · Tarasenko 2G 2A, 24 SOG

1Hits on each other1
2Shots blocked by the other0

Dvorak blocked 2 of Tarasenko's shots; Tarasenko blocked 0 of Dvorak's.

On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)

5:42 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Dvorak's side

Shot attempts
9–5
64.3%
Expected goals
0.3–0.1
65.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Christian Dvorak and Vladimir Tarasenko
DateScoreDvorakTarasenko
2026-03-12PHI 3–2 MIN0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-18PHI 2–1 MIN0G 1A 2S1G 0A 1S
2025-04-08MTL 4–1 DET0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-23MTL 2–4 DET0G 1A 1S0G 1A 4S
2024-12-21MTL 5–1 DET0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-12-20MTL 4–3 DET0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2022-10-29MTL 7–4 STL3G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2021-04-17ARI 3–2 STL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2018-01-20ARI 5–2 STL2G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2017-11-09ARI 2–3 STL0G 1A 4S0G 1A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DvorakTarasenko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Christian Dvorak

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Vladimir Tarasenko

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

FAQ

Should I start Christian Dvorak or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vladimir Tarasenko projects to 1.52 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Christian Dvorak or Vladimir Tarasenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Christian Dvorak leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dvorak and Tarasenko done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 8–2. Dvorak had 11 points (5 goals) and Tarasenko had 4 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →