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Who to start · 2025-26

Clayton Keller vs Dylan Guenther

Clayton KellerClayton KellerMammoth · Right wingvsDylan GuentherDylan GuentherMammoth · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Clayton Keller's 2.15.

Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Guenther had 73 in 79 games.

This week Keller has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Guenther has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Guenther for 3.2 ESPN points to Keller's 2.9.

Clayton Keller has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Keller's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 69.8%, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.19, Scoring chances 56.1%.

Guenther's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.4, Transition attempts /60 2.52, Hits 66.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 2 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Clayton Keller

2.15

fantasy points per game

Dylan Guenther

2.36

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Guenther has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKellerGuenther
Goals (+2)0.591.20
Assists (+1)0.830.39
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.32
Hits (+0.1)0.010.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Keller vs Guenther

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KellerGuenther
2Shots blocked by the other1

Keller blocked 2 of Guenther's shots; Guenther blocked 1 of Keller's.

15Goals set up by the other37

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

131:34 at 5-on-5 over 39 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27

Shot attempts
145–114
56.0%
Expected goals
6.1–5.0
55.0%
Goals
8–5

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KellerGuenther

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Clayton Keller

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Dylan Guenther

3games (2 left)

3.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.6 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Clayton Keller or Dylan Guenther in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Clayton Keller's 2.15. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Guenther had 73 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Clayton Keller or Dylan Guenther?
On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →