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Who to start · 2025-26

Clayton Keller vs Macklin Celebrini

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Clayton Keller's 2.15.

Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games.

This week Keller has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Celebrini has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Celebrini for 3.0 ESPN points to Keller's 2.9.

Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Keller's biggest edges: Fenwick 56.5%, High-danger chances 54.8%, Corsi 56.4%.

Celebrini's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.9, Faceoffs won 625, Luck Meter +76.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 7 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Clayton Keller

2.15

fantasy points per game

Macklin Celebrini

3.00

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Macklin Celebrini has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKellerCelebrini
Goals (+2)0.591.03
Assists (+1)0.830.99
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.22
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.37
Hits (+0.1)0.010.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.33

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Keller vs Celebrini

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KellerCelebrini
3Team record in 5 meetings2
8Points in those games9

Keller 2G 6A, 15 SOG · Celebrini 4G 5A, 10 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other1

Keller's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–1 · Keller's defensive zone 0–0 (2025-26)

0Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Keller blocked 0 of Celebrini's shots; Celebrini blocked 1 of Keller's.

On the ice against each other (Keller's side)

9:44 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Keller's side

Shot attempts
8–5
61.5%
Expected goals
0.7–0.3
70.6%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Clayton Keller and Macklin Celebrini
DateScoreKellerCelebrini
2025-12-01UTA 3–6 SJS0G 1A 4S0G 3A 0S
2025-11-18UTA 2–3 SJS0G 0A 1S3G 0A 4S
2025-10-17UTA 6–3 SJS1G 3A 3S1G 1A 3S
2025-01-10UTA 2–1 SJS0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-14UTA 4–3 SJS1G 1A 5S0G 1A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KellerCelebrini

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Clayton Keller

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Macklin Celebrini

2games (1 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK3.0 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Clayton Keller or Macklin Celebrini in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Clayton Keller's 2.15. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Clayton Keller or Macklin Celebrini?
On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Keller and Celebrini done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Keller's team went 3–2. Keller had 8 points (2 goals) and Celebrini had 9 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Keller or Celebrini?
Against each other, Keller has won 0 and Celebrini 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →