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Who to start · 2025-26

Clayton Keller vs Martin Necas

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Martin Necas projects to 2.40 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Clayton Keller's 2.15.

Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Necas had 100 in 78 games.

This week Keller has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Necas has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Keller for 2.9 ESPN points to Necas's 1.7.

Martin Necas has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Keller's biggest edges: Ascension score 50, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.037, Forecheck xG /60 0.32.

Necas's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.9, Hits 85, Luck Meter +71.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Clayton Keller

2.15

fantasy points per game

Martin Necas

2.40

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Martin Necas has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKellerNecas
Goals (+2)0.590.91
Assists (+1)0.830.81
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.27
Hits (+0.1)0.010.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Keller vs Necas

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KellerNecas
3Team record in 12 meetings9
6Points in those games14

Keller 0G 6A, 29 SOG · Necas 7G 7A, 32 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Keller's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Keller's defensive zone 1–0 (2022-23)

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Keller's side)

18:16 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Keller's side

Shot attempts
19–25
43.2%
Expected goals
0.9–0.8
54.9%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Clayton Keller and Martin Necas
DateScoreKellerNecas
2026-02-25UTA 2–4 COL0G 1A 5S1G 1A 3S
2025-12-23UTA 0–1 COL0G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-21UTA 4–3 COL0G 2A 4S1G 0A 2S
2025-10-09UTA 1–2 COL0G 1A 2S0G 1A 0S
2024-11-13UTA 4–1 CAR0G 1A 2S1G 0A 4S
2024-02-16ARI 1–5 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 2A 1S
2024-01-27ARI 1–3 CAR0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2023-03-03ARI 1–6 CAR0G 0A 4S1G 2A 5S
2022-11-23ARI 4–0 CAR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 4S
2021-10-31ARI 1–2 CAR0G 0A 1S1G 1A 4S
2020-02-06ARI 3–5 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2020-01-10ARI 0–3 CAR0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KellerNecas

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Clayton Keller

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Martin Necas

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.7 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Clayton Keller or Martin Necas in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Martin Necas projects to 2.40 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Clayton Keller's 2.15. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Necas had 100 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Clayton Keller or Martin Necas?
On 2025-26 numbers, Martin Necas leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Keller and Necas done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Keller's team went 3–9. Keller had 6 points (0 goals) and Necas had 14 (7 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Keller or Necas?
Against each other, Keller has won 1 and Necas 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →