Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Clayton Keller vs Parker Kelly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51.

Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games.

This week Keller has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Kelly has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Keller for 2.9 ESPN points to Kelly's 0.9.

Clayton Keller has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Keller's biggest edges: Power-play share 71.5%, Power-play time per game 3:15, Power-play points 27.

Kelly's biggest edges: Goals above expected +7.5, Hits 177, Luck Meter +72.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Clayton Keller

2.15

fantasy points per game

Parker Kelly

1.51

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Clayton Keller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKellerKelly
Goals (+2)0.590.61
Assists (+1)0.830.22
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.13
Hits (+0.1)0.010.22
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.33

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Keller vs Kelly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KellerKelly
5Team record in 12 meetings7
12Points in those games5

Keller 4G 8A, 35 SOG · Kelly 3G 2A, 12 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Keller's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Keller's defensive zone 0–0 (2024-25)

0Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Keller blocked 0 of Kelly's shots; Kelly blocked 1 of Keller's.

On the ice against each other (Keller's side)

9:54 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Keller's side

Shot attempts
10–13
43.5%
Expected goals
0.6–0.4
57.7%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Clayton Keller and Parker Kelly
DateScoreKellerKelly
2026-02-25UTA 2–4 COL0G 1A 5S1G 1A 1S
2025-12-23UTA 0–1 COL0G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-21UTA 4–3 COL0G 2A 4S0G 1A 0S
2025-10-09UTA 1–2 COL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-12-27UTA 1–4 COL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-12-12UTA 4–1 COL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-24UTA 1–5 COL0G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-19ARI 4–3 OTT1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2023-01-12ARI 3–5 OTT0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2022-10-22ARI 2–6 OTT1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2022-03-14ARI 5–3 OTT0G 2A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-05ARI 8–5 OTT2G 2A 4S2G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KellerKelly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Clayton Keller

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RW
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%

Parker Kelly

2games (1 left)

0.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to C
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Clayton Keller or Parker Kelly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Clayton Keller or Parker Kelly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Keller and Kelly done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Keller's team went 5–7. Keller had 12 points (4 goals) and Kelly had 5 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Keller or Kelly?
Against each other, Keller has won 1 and Kelly 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →