Who to start · 2025-26
Clayton Keller vs Tom Wilson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Clayton Keller's 2.15.
Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.
This week Keller has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Keller for 2.9 ESPN points to Wilson's 2.3.
They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.
Keller's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 69.8%, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.19, Offensive-zone time 46.6%.
Wilson's biggest edges: Hits 179, Goals above expected +2.0, Luck Meter +40.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Clayton Keller
2.15
fantasy points per game
Tom Wilson
2.24
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Keller | Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.59 | 0.78 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.83 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.01 | 0.25 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.44 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Keller vs Wilson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Keller 3G 12A, 31 SOG · Wilson 3G 3A, 21 SOG
On the ice against each other (Keller's side)
10:32 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Keller's side
- Shot attempts
- 20–11
- 64.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.8
- 52.2%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Keller | Wilson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | UTA 4–7 WSH | 0G 3A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-03 | UTA 3–2 WSH | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-02-09 | UTA 5–4 WSH | 0G 1A 2S | 2G 1A 4S |
| 2024-11-18 | UTA 2–6 WSH | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-04 | ARI 6–0 WSH | 0G 3A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-01-19 | ARI 0–4 WSH | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2021-10-29 | ARI 0–2 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2020-02-15 | ARI 3–1 WSH | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2019-11-11 | ARI 4–3 WSH | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2017-12-22 | ARI 3–2 WSH | 1G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2017-11-06 | ARI 2–3 WSH | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Clayton Keller
3games (2 left)
2.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.4 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Tom Wilson
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Clayton Keller or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Clayton Keller's 2.15. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Clayton Keller or Tom Wilson?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.
- How have Keller and Wilson done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Keller's team went 6–5. Keller had 15 points (3 goals) and Wilson had 6 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →