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Who to start · 2025-26

Cole Caufield vs Erik Karlsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96.

Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games.

This week Caufield has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Karlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Caufield for 1.6 ESPN points to Karlsson's 1.3.

Cole Caufield has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Caufield's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.016, Hits 50, Plus/minus +29.

Karlsson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Top skating speed 23.7, 20+ mph bursts 153.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Cole Caufield

2.29

fantasy points per game

Erik Karlsson

1.96

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Cole Caufield has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCaufieldKarlsson
Goals (+2)1.180.38
Assists (+1)0.430.70
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.19
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.24
Hits (+0.1)0.080.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.43

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Caufield vs Karlsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CaufieldKarlsson
3Team record in 12 meetings9
4Points in those games11

Caufield 1G 3A, 31 SOG · Karlsson 2G 9A, 43 SOG

1Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other1

Caufield blocked 1 of Karlsson's shots; Karlsson blocked 1 of Caufield's.

On the ice against each other (Caufield's side)

21:24 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Caufield's side

Shot attempts
25–18
58.1%
Expected goals
1.3–1.0
57.9%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Cole Caufield and Erik Karlsson
DateScoreCaufieldKarlsson
2025-12-21MTL 3–4 PIT0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-12-20MTL 4–0 PIT0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-12-11MTL 4–2 PIT1G 0A 4S1G 0A 5S
2024-12-12MTL 2–9 PIT0G 1A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-11-02MTL 1–3 PIT0G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2024-10-14MTL 3–6 PIT0G 0A 4S0G 1A 3S
2024-02-22MTL 1–4 PIT0G 0A 4S0G 2A 4S
2024-01-27MTL 2–3 PIT0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-13MTL 3–4 PIT0G 0A 6S0G 2A 7S
2022-11-29MTL 0–4 SJS0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2021-10-28MTL 4–0 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 6S
2021-10-19MTL 0–5 SJS0G 0A 2S1G 2A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CaufieldKarlsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Cole Caufield

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to RWLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to RWvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Erik Karlsson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to Dvs Jakub Dobes (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Cole Caufield or Erik Karlsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96. Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Cole Caufield or Erik Karlsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Cole Caufield leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Caufield and Karlsson done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Caufield's team went 3–9. Caufield had 4 points (1 goals) and Karlsson had 11 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →