Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Cole Caufield vs Mathew Barzal

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Barzal's 1.82.

Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games.

This week Caufield has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Barzal has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Caufield for 1.6 ESPN points to Barzal's 1.4.

Cole Caufield has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Caufield's biggest edges: Goals above expected +7.8, Luck Meter +67, Transition attempts /60 1.65.

Barzal's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 61, Blocked shots 50, Faceoffs won 210.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Cole Caufield

2.40

fantasy points per game

Mathew Barzal

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Cole Caufield has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCaufieldBarzal
Goals (+2)1.260.47
Assists (+1)0.460.65
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.23
Hits (+0.1)0.060.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.130.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Caufield vs Barzal

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CaufieldBarzal
5Team record in 10 meetings5
14Points in those games6

Caufield 9G 5A, 31 SOG · Barzal 1G 5A, 29 SOG

0Hits on each other1
1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Caufield's side)

25:59 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Caufield's side

Shot attempts
37–27
57.8%
Expected goals
1.2–1.0
55.6%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Cole Caufield and Mathew Barzal
DateScoreCaufieldBarzal
2026-04-12MTL 4–1 NYI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2026-03-21MTL 7–3 NYI3G 2A 3S0G 1A 4S
2026-02-26MTL 3–4 NYI1G 0A 4S0G 1A 0S
2024-10-19MTL 3–4 NYI2G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2024-04-11MTL 2–3 NYI1G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-25MTL 4–3 NYI1G 1A 4S1G 1A 9S
2023-12-16MTL 5–3 NYI1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-14MTL 1–2 NYI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2022-04-15MTL 0–3 NYI0G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2022-02-20MTL 3–2 NYI0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CaufieldBarzal

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Cole Caufield

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to RWLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Mathew Barzal

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jake Allen (.904)

FAQ

Should I start Cole Caufield or Mathew Barzal in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Barzal's 1.82. Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Cole Caufield or Mathew Barzal?
On 2025-26 numbers, Cole Caufield leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Caufield and Barzal done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Caufield's team went 5–5. Caufield had 14 points (9 goals) and Barzal had 6 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →