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Who to start · 2025-26

Cole Caufield vs Morgan Rielly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.

Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week Caufield has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Rielly has 1 left. We project Caufield for 1.6 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.

Cole Caufield has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Caufield's biggest edges: Plus/minus +29, Fenwick 54.9%, Expected goals 53.8%.

Rielly's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Ascension score 60, Blocked shots 114.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Cole Caufield

2.29

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Cole Caufield has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCaufieldRielly
Goals (+2)1.180.25
Assists (+1)0.430.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.17
Hits (+0.1)0.080.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Caufield vs Rielly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CaufieldRielly
12Team record in 26 meetings14
16Points in those games15

Caufield 11G 5A, 83 SOG · Rielly 3G 12A, 55 SOG

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other7

Caufield blocked 0 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 7 of Caufield's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Caufield's side)

18:28 at 5-on-5 over 5 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Caufield's side

Shot attempts
27–17
61.4%
Expected goals
1.0–0.9
53.7%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Cole Caufield and Morgan Rielly
DateScoreCaufieldRielly
2026-09-29MTL 3–2 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2026-03-10MTL 3–1 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-12-06MTL 2–1 TOR1G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-22MTL 5–2 TOR0G 1A 4S0G 1A 4S
2025-10-08MTL 2–5 TOR0G 0A 4S1G 1A 5S
2025-04-12MTL 0–1 TOR0G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-18MTL 3–7 TOR0G 0A 10S0G 1A 0S
2024-11-09MTL 1–4 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2024-10-09MTL 1–0 TOR1G 0A 4S0G 0A 4S
2024-04-06MTL 2–4 TOR1G 0A 7S0G 1A 1S
2024-03-09MTL 2–3 TOR0G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2023-10-11MTL 5–6 TOR1G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S

Latest 12 of 26 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CaufieldRielly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Cole Caufield

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to RWLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to RWvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Cole Caufield or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Cole Caufield or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Cole Caufield leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Caufield and Rielly done against each other?
In 26 games against each other in our data, Caufield's team went 12–14. Caufield had 16 points (11 goals) and Rielly had 15 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →