Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Cole Caufield vs Sebastian Aho

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.

Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.

This week Caufield has 1 game left; Aho has 1 left. We project Caufield for 2.4 ESPN points to Aho's 2.0.

Sebastian Aho has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Caufield's biggest edges: Goals above expected +8.1, On-ice PDO 1042, Luck Meter +66.

Aho's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 596, Penalty minutes 46, Shorthanded points 6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Cole Caufield

2.29

fantasy points per game

Sebastian Aho

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Cole Caufield has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCaufieldAho
Goals (+2)1.180.72
Assists (+1)0.430.59
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.25
Hits (+0.1)0.080.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Caufield vs Aho

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CaufieldAho
5Team record in 16 meetings11
10Points in those games24

Caufield 5G 5A, 32 SOG · Aho 8G 16A, 43 SOG

0Hits on each other2
1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Caufield's side)

41:35 at 5-on-5 over 7 games, 2025-26, from Caufield's side

Shot attempts
42–57
42.4%
Expected goals
2.1–2.4
46.7%
Goals
3–1

Games against each other

Games between Cole Caufield and Sebastian Aho
DateScoreCaufieldAho
2026-05-29 · POMTL 1–6 CAR1G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2026-05-27 · POMTL 0–4 CAR0G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2026-05-25 · POMTL 2–3 CAR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2026-05-23 · POMTL 2–3 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2026-05-21 · POMTL 6–2 CAR1G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S
2026-03-29MTL 3–1 CAR1G 1A 3S0G 1A 1S
2026-03-24MTL 5–2 CAR1G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2026-01-01MTL 7–5 CAR1G 0A 3S2G 3A 3S
2025-03-28MTL 1–4 CAR0G 0A 0S1G 0A 4S
2025-02-25MTL 4–0 CAR0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-30MTL 0–3 CAR0G 0A 2S1G 1A 5S
2024-03-07MTL 1–4 CAR0G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CaufieldAho

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Cole Caufield

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT2.4 pts

Sebastian Aho

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.0 pts

FAQ

Should I start Cole Caufield or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Cole Caufield or Sebastian Aho?
On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Caufield and Aho done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Caufield's team went 5–11. Caufield had 10 points (5 goals) and Aho had 24 (8 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →