Who to start · 2025-26
Collin Graf vs Jake Guentzel
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35.
Graf had 46 points in 81 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games.
This week Graf has 1 game left; Guentzel has 1 left. We project Guentzel for 1.9 ESPN points to Graf's 1.2.
Jake Guentzel has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Graf's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.32, Hits 88, Top skating speed 22.9.
Guentzel's biggest edges: Corsi 53.3%, Offensive-zone time 44.0%, Penalty minutes 61.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Collin Graf
1.35
fantasy points per game
Jake Guentzel
2.21
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Graf | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.49 | 0.88 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.29 | 0.58 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.14 | 0.28 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Graf vs Guentzel
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Graf 0G 0A, 1 SOG · Guentzel 1G 3A, 3 SOG
On the ice against each other (Graf's side)
7:28 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Graf's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–8
- 27.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.2
- 30.1%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Graf | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 | SJS 1–4 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2026-01-03 | SJS 3–7 TBL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2025-01-02 | SJS 2–1 TBL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Collin Graf
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.2 pts
Jake Guentzel
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.9 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Collin Graf or Jake Guentzel in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35. Graf had 46 points in 81 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Collin Graf or Jake Guentzel?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Graf and Guentzel done against each other?
- In 3 games against each other in our data, Graf's team went 1–2. Graf had 0 points (0 goals) and Guentzel had 4 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →