Who to start · 2025-26
Collin Graf vs Mitch Marner
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35.
Graf had 46 points in 81 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.
This week Graf has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Marner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to Graf's 1.4.
Mitch Marner has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Graf's biggest edges: Hits 88, Top skating speed 22.9, 20+ mph bursts 123.
Marner's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.6%, Fenwick 55.3%, Corsi 54.5%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Collin Graf
1.35
fantasy points per game
Mitch Marner
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mitch Marner has the edge.
| Points per game from | Graf | Marner |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.29 | 0.67 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Graf vs Marner
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Graf 3G 0A, 8 SOG · Marner 3G 5A, 15 SOG
Graf blocked 1 of Marner's shots; Marner blocked 0 of Graf's.
On the ice against each other (Graf's side)
15:06 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Graf's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–14
- 41.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.6
- 33.1%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Graf | Marner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | SJS 2–7 VGK | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-23 | SJS 2–7 VGK | 1G 0A 1S | 2G 0A 5S |
| 2025-11-29 | SJS 3–4 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-10-09 | SJS 3–4 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-27 | SJS 6–5 TOR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 3A 2S |
| 2025-03-03 | SJS 3–2 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Collin Graf
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Mitch Marner
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Collin Graf or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35. Graf had 46 points in 81 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Collin Graf or Mitch Marner?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Graf and Marner done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Graf's team went 2–4. Graf had 3 points (3 goals) and Marner had 8 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →