Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Collin Graf vs Pavel Buchnevich

Collin GrafCollin GrafSharks · Right wingvsPavel BuchnevichPavel BuchnevichBlues · Left wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Collin Graf projects to 1.35 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.

Graf had 46 points in 81 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.

This week Graf has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Buchnevich for 1.5 ESPN points to Graf's 1.4.

Pavel Buchnevich has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Graf's biggest edges: Top skating speed 22.9, Plus/minus +6, Luck Meter +52.

Buchnevich's biggest edges: Hardest shot 88.9, Offensive-zone time 42.9%, Sequence xG 52.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Collin Graf

1.35

fantasy points per game

Pavel Buchnevich

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Collin Graf has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGrafBuchnevich
Goals (+2)0.490.46
Assists (+1)0.290.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.010.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.16
Hits (+0.1)0.110.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.310.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Graf vs Buchnevich

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GrafBuchnevich
2Team record in 4 meetings2
1Points in those games2

Graf 0G 1A, 5 SOG · Buchnevich 1G 1A, 6 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other1

Graf's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Graf's defensive zone 0–0 (2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Graf's side)

16:04 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Graf's side

Shot attempts
11–10
52.4%
Expected goals
0.6–0.7
46.1%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Collin Graf and Pavel Buchnevich
DateScoreGrafBuchnevich
2026-03-30SJS 5–4 STL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2026-03-26SJS 1–2 STL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2026-03-06SJS 2–3 STL0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-04-06SJS 3–2 STL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GrafBuchnevich

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Collin Graf

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RW
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to RW

Pavel Buchnevich

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to LW
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −12.8 win%

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Collin Graf or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Collin Graf projects to 1.35 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Graf had 46 points in 81 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Collin Graf or Pavel Buchnevich?
On 2025-26 numbers, Pavel Buchnevich leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Graf and Buchnevich done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Graf's team went 2–2. Graf had 1 points (0 goals) and Buchnevich had 2 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Graf or Buchnevich?
Against each other, Graf has won 0 and Buchnevich 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →