Who to start · 2025-26
Connor Bedard vs Eeli Tolvanen
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.
Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games.
This week Bedard has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Tolvanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Bedard for 2.4 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.
Connor Bedard has the better number in 27 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Bedard's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 315, Offensive-zone start % 66.6%, 20+ mph bursts 195.
Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hits 187, Blocked shots 81, Hardest shot 92.8.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor Bedard
2.24
fantasy points per game
Eeli Tolvanen
1.64
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.
| Points per game from | Bedard | Tolvanen |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.87 | 0.31 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.65 | 0.31 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.24 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.52 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Bedard vs Tolvanen
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Bedard 1G 3A, 21 SOG · Tolvanen 1G 2A, 14 SOG
On the ice against each other (Bedard's side)
8:38 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Bedard's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–7
- 30.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.3
- 39.5%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Bedard | Tolvanen |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | CHI 4–2 SEA | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-11-20 | CHI 2–3 SEA | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-03 | CHI 1–3 SEA | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-03-18 | CHI 2–6 SEA | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-12-19 | CHI 3–1 SEA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-14 | CHI 1–3 SEA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-14 | CHI 1–7 SEA | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-28 | CHI 4–3 SEA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor Bedard
3games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ UTAOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
Eeli Tolvanen
4games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor Bedard or Eeli Tolvanen in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor Bedard or Eeli Tolvanen?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor Bedard leads in 27 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Bedard and Tolvanen done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, Bedard's team went 3–5. Bedard had 4 points (1 goals) and Tolvanen had 3 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →