Who to start · 2025-26
Connor Bedard vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Connor Bedard's 2.24.
Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week Bedard has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left. We project MacKinnon for 2.8 ESPN points to Bedard's 2.4.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 30 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Bedard's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.005, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.25, Penalty minutes 50.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Scoring chances 59.3%, Plus/minus +57, Corsi 57.6%.
Head to head on the dot, Bedard leads MacKinnon 28–28.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor Bedard
2.24
fantasy points per game
Nathan MacKinnon
3.17
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | Bedard | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.87 | 1.32 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.65 | 0.93 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Bedard vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Bedard 2G 4A, 25 SOG · MacKinnon 5G 12A, 48 SOG
Bedard's offensive zone 2–5 · neutral 11–13 · Bedard's defensive zone 15–10 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
Bedard blocked 0 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 1 of Bedard's.
On the ice against each other (Bedard's side)
24:23 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Bedard's side
- Shot attempts
- 30–31
- 49.2%
- Expected goals
- 1.8–0.9
- 66.7%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Bedard | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | CHI 1–4 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 3A 4S |
| 2026-02-28 | CHI 1–3 COL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 6S |
| 2025-11-23 | CHI 0–1 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-04-02 | CHI 2–3 COL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2025-03-10 | CHI 0–3 COL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 2A 6S |
| 2025-01-08 | CHI 3–1 COL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-28 | CHI 5–2 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-04 | CHI 0–5 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 2A 6S |
| 2024-02-29 | CHI 0–5 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2023-12-19 | CHI 3–2 COL | 0G 2A 6S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-10-19 | CHI 0–4 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 6S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor Bedard
3games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ VGKOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ UTAOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.8proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.8 ptsSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor Bedard or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Connor Bedard's 2.24. Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor Bedard or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 30 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Bedard and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Bedard's team went 3–8. Bedard had 6 points (2 goals) and MacKinnon had 17 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Bedard or MacKinnon?
- Against each other, Bedard has won 28 and MacKinnon 28 of their 56 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →