Who to start · 2025-26
Connor Bedard vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.
Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Bedard has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Aho has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 4.0 ESPN points to Bedard's 2.4.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 18 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Bedard's biggest edges: Luck Meter +38, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.005, On-ice PDO 1008.
Aho's biggest edges: Fenwick 60.3%, Corsi 61.5%, Scoring chances 57.5%.
Head to head on the dot, Bedard leads Aho 6–5.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor Bedard
2.24
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.03
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.
| Points per game from | Bedard | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.87 | 0.68 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Bedard vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Bedard 1G 2A, 6 SOG · Aho 3G 2A, 12 SOG
Bedard's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 3–2 · Bedard's defensive zone 3–2 (2023-24 to 2024-25)
On the ice against each other (Bedard's side)
10:40 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Bedard's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–11
- 38.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.5
- 31.2%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Bedard | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | CHI 4–3 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-20 | CHI 3–4 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-04-14 | CHI 2–4 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-02-19 | CHI 3–6 CAR | 1G 2A 1S | 1G 1A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor Bedard
3games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ VGKOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ UTAOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
Sebastian Aho
3games (2 left)
4.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH1.8 ptsLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.1 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor Bedard or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor Bedard or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 18 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Bedard and Aho done against each other?
- In 4 games against each other in our data, Bedard's team went 1–3. Bedard had 3 points (1 goals) and Aho had 5 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Bedard or Aho?
- Against each other, Bedard has won 6 and Aho 5 of their 11 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →