Who to start · 2025-26
Connor McDavid vs Vladimir Tarasenko
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.
McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.
This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 26 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
McDavid's biggest edges: Corsi 54.2%, Top skating speed 24.6, 20+ mph bursts 681.
Tarasenko's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.1, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.018, Luck Meter +30.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor McDavid
3.21
fantasy points per game
Vladimir Tarasenko
1.52
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | McDavid | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.17 | 0.61 |
| Assists (+1) | 1.10 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.37 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McDavid vs Tarasenko
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McDavid 9G 20A, 92 SOG · Tarasenko 10G 7A, 80 SOG
McDavid blocked 1 of Tarasenko's shots; Tarasenko blocked 0 of McDavid's.
On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)
9:24 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–12
- 52.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–1.7
- 26.3%
- Goals
- 1–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McDavid | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | EDM 3–7 MIN | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-20 | EDM 2–5 MIN | 1G 0A 6S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2025-12-02 | EDM 0–1 MIN | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-30 | EDM 2–3 DET | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-27 | EDM 3–2 DET | 0G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-06-24 · PO | EDM 1–2 FLA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-06-21 · PO | EDM 5–1 FLA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-06-18 · PO | EDM 5–3 FLA | 2G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-06-15 · PO | EDM 8–1 FLA | 1G 3A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-06-13 · PO | EDM 3–4 FLA | 0G 2A 5S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-06-10 · PO | EDM 1–4 FLA | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-06-08 · PO | EDM 0–3 FLA | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 26 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor McDavid
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Vladimir Tarasenko
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor McDavid or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor McDavid or Vladimir Tarasenko?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 26 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McDavid and Tarasenko done against each other?
- In 26 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 10–16. McDavid had 29 points (9 goals) and Tarasenko had 17 (10 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →