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Who to start · 2025-26

Darnell Nurse vs Eeli Tolvanen

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Darnell Nurse projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.

Nurse had 24 points in 82 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games.

This week Nurse has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Tolvanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Nurse for 2.1 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.

Darnell Nurse has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Nurse's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Top skating speed 23.2, 20+ mph bursts 101.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Ascension score 57, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010, On-ice PDO 993.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Darnell Nurse

1.83

fantasy points per game

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Darnell Nurse has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNurseTolvanen
Goals (+2)0.160.48
Assists (+1)0.190.26
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.07
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.17
Hits (+0.1)0.170.24
Blocks (+0.5)1.110.49

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nurse vs Tolvanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

NurseTolvanen
15Team record in 18 meetings3
8Points in those games8

Nurse 2G 6A, 34 SOG · Tolvanen 5G 3A, 41 SOG

1Hits on each other1
5Shots blocked by the other2

Nurse blocked 5 of Tolvanen's shots; Tolvanen blocked 2 of Nurse's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Nurse's side)

16:11 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Nurse's side

Shot attempts
23–16
59.0%
Expected goals
0.8–0.6
58.0%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Darnell Nurse and Eeli Tolvanen
DateScoreNurseTolvanen
2026-03-31EDM 3–0 SEA0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2025-12-04EDM 9–4 SEA0G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2025-11-29EDM 4–0 SEA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-25EDM 2–3 SEA1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-27EDM 1–6 SEA0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-22EDM 5–4 SEA0G 2A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-27EDM 4–2 SEA0G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S
2025-01-04EDM 4–2 SEA0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-02EDM 2–1 SEA0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2024-01-18EDM 4–2 SEA0G 0A 0S1G 0A 4S
2023-11-15EDM 4–3 SEA0G 0A 1S0G 1A 7S
2023-11-11EDM 4–1 SEA0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

NurseTolvanen

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Darnell Nurse

2games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK2.1 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to DSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Darnell Nurse or Eeli Tolvanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Darnell Nurse projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Nurse had 24 points in 82 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Darnell Nurse or Eeli Tolvanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Darnell Nurse leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nurse and Tolvanen done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Nurse's team went 15–3. Nurse had 8 points (2 goals) and Tolvanen had 8 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →