Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Darnell Nurse vs Ivan Provorov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Darnell Nurse projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Nurse had 24 points in 82 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.

This week Nurse has 1 game left; Provorov has 1 left. We project Nurse for 1.8 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.6.

Ivan Provorov has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Nurse's biggest edges: Hits 137, Offensive-zone start % 53.0%, Penalty minutes 104.

Provorov's biggest edges: Plus/minus +14, On-ice PDO 1012, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.27.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Darnell Nurse

1.78

fantasy points per game

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Darnell Nurse has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNurseProvorov
Goals (+2)0.170.22
Assists (+1)0.210.27
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.19
Hits (+0.1)0.170.03
Blocks (+0.5)1.020.82

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nurse vs Provorov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

NurseProvorov
7Team record in 15 meetings8
7Points in those games3

Nurse 0G 7A, 35 SOG · Provorov 1G 2A, 15 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other2

Nurse blocked 0 of Provorov's shots; Provorov blocked 2 of Nurse's.

On the ice against each other (Nurse's side)

15:37 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Nurse's side

Shot attempts
16–7
69.6%
Expected goals
0.3–0.3
49.4%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Darnell Nurse and Ivan Provorov
DateScoreNurseProvorov
2025-11-13EDM 4–5 CBJ0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-10EDM 5–4 CBJ0G 0A 1S1G 0A 1S
2024-12-05EDM 6–3 CBJ0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-28EDM 1–6 CBJ0G 1A 6S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-07EDM 2–4 CBJ0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-23EDM 4–1 CBJ0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-02-21EDM 4–2 PHI0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-02-09EDM 1–2 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-01EDM 3–0 PHI0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2021-10-27EDM 3–5 PHI0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2019-10-16EDM 6–3 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2019-02-02EDM 4–5 PHI0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

NurseProvorov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Darnell Nurse

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.8 pts

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.6 pts

FAQ

Should I start Darnell Nurse or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Darnell Nurse projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Nurse had 24 points in 82 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Darnell Nurse or Ivan Provorov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ivan Provorov leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nurse and Provorov done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Nurse's team went 7–8. Nurse had 7 points (0 goals) and Provorov had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →