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Who to start · 2025-26

Darnell Nurse vs J.T. Miller

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Darnell Nurse projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Nurse had 24 points in 82 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games.

This week Nurse has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Miller has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Nurse for 2.1 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

J.T. Miller has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Nurse's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.90, Goals above expected +0.8, Blocked shots 167.

Miller's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.9%, Forecheck xG /60 0.40, Power-play share 73.3%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Darnell Nurse

1.83

fantasy points per game

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Darnell Nurse has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNurseMiller
Goals (+2)0.160.42
Assists (+1)0.190.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.20
Hits (+0.1)0.170.18
Blocks (+0.5)1.110.26

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nurse vs Miller

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

NurseMiller
20Team record in 39 meetings19
19Points in those games40

Nurse 4G 15A, 91 SOG · Miller 12G 28A, 80 SOG

3Hits on each other6
6Shots blocked by the other3

Nurse blocked 6 of Miller's shots; Miller blocked 3 of Nurse's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Nurse's side)

13:10 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Nurse's side

Shot attempts
12–15
44.4%
Expected goals
0.4–0.9
30.8%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Darnell Nurse and J.T. Miller
DateScoreNurseMiller
2025-10-30EDM 3–4 NYR2G 0A 4S1G 0A 5S
2025-10-14EDM 2–0 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-16EDM 3–1 NYR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-23EDM 6–2 VAN0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2025-01-18EDM 2–3 VAN0G 0A 2S0G 2A 1S
2024-11-09EDM 7–3 VAN0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-05-20 · POEDM 3–2 VAN0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-05-18 · POEDM 5–1 VAN0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2024-05-16 · POEDM 2–3 VAN0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S
2024-05-14 · POEDM 3–2 VAN0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-05-12 · POEDM 3–4 VAN0G 1A 4S0G 2A 2S
2024-05-10 · POEDM 4–3 VAN0G 0A 3S0G 2A 0S

Latest 12 of 39 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

NurseMiller

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Darnell Nurse

2games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK2.1 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to DSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Darnell Nurse or J.T. Miller in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Darnell Nurse projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Nurse had 24 points in 82 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Darnell Nurse or J.T. Miller?
On 2025-26 numbers, J.T. Miller leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nurse and Miller done against each other?
In 39 games against each other in our data, Nurse's team went 20–19. Nurse had 19 points (4 goals) and Miller had 40 (12 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →