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Who to start · 2025-26

David Pastrnak vs Eeli Tolvanen

David PastrnakDavid PastrnakBruins · Right wingvsEeli TolvanenEeli TolvanenRangers · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.

Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games.

This week Pastrnak has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Tolvanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Pastrnak for 1.8 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.

David Pastrnak has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Pastrnak's biggest edges: Plus/minus +4, Offensive-zone start % 64.7%, Offensive-zone time 43.6%.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Ascension score 57, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010, Blocked shots 81.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

David Pastrnak

2.44

fantasy points per game

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, David Pastrnak has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPastrnakTolvanen
Goals (+2)0.660.48
Assists (+1)0.930.26
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.07
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.17
Hits (+0.1)0.100.24
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.49

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Pastrnak vs Tolvanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

PastrnakTolvanen
6Team record in 10 meetings4
8Points in those games4

Pastrnak 5G 3A, 51 SOG · Tolvanen 3G 1A, 20 SOG

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Pastrnak's side)

5:56 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Pastrnak's side

Shot attempts
5–10
33.3%
Expected goals
0.2–0.2
52.9%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between David Pastrnak and Eeli Tolvanen
DateScorePastrnakTolvanen
2026-09-29BOS 3–0 NYR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2026-01-15BOS 4–2 SEA1G 0A 4S1G 0A 3S
2024-12-12BOS 1–5 SEA0G 0A 6S0G 1A 1S
2024-11-03BOS 2–0 SEA0G 0A 7S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-26BOS 3–4 SEA2G 1A 4S0G 0A 3S
2024-02-15BOS 1–4 SEA1G 0A 8S1G 0A 3S
2023-02-23BOS 6–5 SEA1G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-12BOS 0–3 SEA0G 0A 5S1G 0A 3S
2022-01-15BOS 4–3 NSH0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2021-12-02BOS 2–0 NSH0G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PastrnakTolvanen

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

David Pastrnak

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start David Pastrnak or Eeli Tolvanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, David Pastrnak or Eeli Tolvanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, David Pastrnak leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Pastrnak and Tolvanen done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Pastrnak's team went 6–4. Pastrnak had 8 points (5 goals) and Tolvanen had 4 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →