Who to start · 2025-26
David Pastrnak vs Erik Karlsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96.
Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games.
This week Pastrnak has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Karlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Pastrnak for 1.8 ESPN points to Karlsson's 1.3.
Erik Karlsson has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Pastrnak's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 72, Hits 86, Blocked shots 32.
Karlsson's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.7, Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +2.1.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
David Pastrnak
2.44
fantasy points per game
Erik Karlsson
1.96
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, David Pastrnak has the edge.
| Points per game from | Pastrnak | Karlsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.66 | 0.38 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.93 | 0.70 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.43 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Pastrnak vs Karlsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Pastrnak 9G 12A, 57 SOG · Karlsson 1G 7A, 48 SOG
Pastrnak blocked 2 of Karlsson's shots; Karlsson blocked 0 of Pastrnak's.
On the ice against each other (Pastrnak's side)
17:12 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Pastrnak's side
- Shot attempts
- 17–24
- 41.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–1.0
- 46.2%
- Goals
- 1–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Pastrnak | Karlsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | BOS 4–5 PIT | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 6S |
| 2026-03-03 | BOS 2–1 PIT | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2026-01-11 | BOS 1–0 PIT | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-13 | BOS 4–1 PIT | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-01 | BOS 3–2 PIT | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-29 | BOS 1–2 PIT | 0G 0A 7S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-04-13 | BOS 6–4 PIT | 0G 2A 4S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2024-03-09 | BOS 5–1 PIT | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 9S |
| 2024-01-04 | BOS 5–6 PIT | 1G 2A 7S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2023-01-22 | BOS 4–0 SJS | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-01-07 | BOS 4–2 SJS | 2G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2021-10-24 | BOS 4–3 SJS | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
David Pastrnak
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs NYROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ WPGOpp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
Erik Karlsson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ PHIOpp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to Dvs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start David Pastrnak or Erik Karlsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96. Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, David Pastrnak or Erik Karlsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Pastrnak and Karlsson done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Pastrnak's team went 13–3. Pastrnak had 21 points (9 goals) and Karlsson had 8 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →