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Who to start · 2025-26

David Pastrnak vs J.T. Miller

David PastrnakDavid PastrnakBruins · Right wingvsJ.T. MillerJ.T. MillerRangers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games.

This week Pastrnak has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Miller has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Pastrnak for 1.8 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

David Pastrnak has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Pastrnak's biggest edges: Plus/minus +4, On-ice PDO 1027, Transition attempts /60 1.66.

Miller's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 547, Top skating speed 22.8, High-danger chances 54.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

David Pastrnak

2.44

fantasy points per game

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, David Pastrnak has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPastrnakMiller
Goals (+2)0.660.42
Assists (+1)0.930.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.20
Hits (+0.1)0.100.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.26

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Pastrnak vs Miller

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

PastrnakMiller
13Team record in 28 meetings15
46Points in those games22

Pastrnak 13G 33A, 106 SOG · Miller 9G 13A, 54 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other1

Pastrnak's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Pastrnak's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24)

2Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Pastrnak blocked 0 of Miller's shots; Miller blocked 1 of Pastrnak's.

On the ice against each other (Pastrnak's side)

21:31 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Pastrnak's side

Shot attempts
28–17
62.2%
Expected goals
2.3–0.8
74.4%
Goals
4–1

Games against each other

Games between David Pastrnak and J.T. Miller
DateScorePastrnakMiller
2026-09-29BOS 3–0 NYR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2026-01-26BOS 3–4 NYR0G 3A 2S1G 0A 1S
2026-01-10BOS 10–2 NYR0G 6A 5S1G 0A 4S
2025-02-05BOS 2–3 NYR1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-02-01BOS 6–3 NYR3G 1A 6S2G 0A 6S
2024-12-14BOS 5–1 VAN1G 3A 1S0G 1A 0S
2024-02-24BOS 2–3 VAN0G 0A 6S0G 3A 4S
2024-02-08BOS 4–0 VAN0G 2A 6S0G 0A 1S
2023-02-25BOS 3–1 VAN0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2022-11-13BOS 5–2 VAN0G 2A 6S1G 0A 2S
2021-12-08BOS 1–2 VAN0G 1A 4S0G 1A 2S
2021-11-28BOS 3–2 VAN1G 0A 7S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 28 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PastrnakMiller

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

David Pastrnak

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start David Pastrnak or J.T. Miller in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, David Pastrnak or J.T. Miller?
On 2025-26 numbers, David Pastrnak leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Pastrnak and Miller done against each other?
In 28 games against each other in our data, Pastrnak's team went 13–15. Pastrnak had 46 points (13 goals) and Miller had 22 (9 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Pastrnak or Miller?
Against each other, Pastrnak has won 0 and Miller 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →