Who to start · 2025-26
David Pastrnak vs Mattias Samuelsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01.
Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.
This week Pastrnak has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Samuelsson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Pastrnak's 1.8.
Mattias Samuelsson has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Pastrnak's biggest edges: Power-play share 82.4%, Power-play time per game 3:36, Offensive-zone time 43.6%.
Samuelsson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.6, Faceoffs won 0, Top skating speed 22.8.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
David Pastrnak
2.44
fantasy points per game
Mattias Samuelsson
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, David Pastrnak has the edge.
| Points per game from | Pastrnak | Samuelsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.66 | 0.44 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.93 | 0.34 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.18 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.14 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.93 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Pastrnak vs Samuelsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Pastrnak 12G 23A, 98 SOG · Samuelsson 3G 6A, 23 SOG
Pastrnak blocked 0 of Samuelsson's shots; Samuelsson blocked 9 of Pastrnak's.
On the ice against each other (Pastrnak's side)
70:29 at 5-on-5 over 10 games, 2025-26, from Pastrnak's side
- Shot attempts
- 68–50
- 57.6%
- Expected goals
- 2.6–1.9
- 57.2%
- Goals
- 4–4
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Pastrnak | Samuelsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 · PO | BOS 1–4 BUF | 1G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-04-28 · PO | BOS 2–1 BUF | 1G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-04-26 · PO | BOS 1–6 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-04-23 · PO | BOS 1–3 BUF | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-04-21 · PO | BOS 4–2 BUF | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-04-19 · PO | BOS 3–4 BUF | 1G 2A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-03-25 | BOS 4–3 BUF | 1G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-27 | BOS 1–4 BUF | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2025-10-30 | BOS 4–3 BUF | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-11 | BOS 3–1 BUF | 0G 0A 7S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-04-06 | BOS 3–6 BUF | 0G 3A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-03-17 | BOS 2–3 BUF | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 25 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
David Pastrnak
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs NYROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ WPGOpp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
Mattias Samuelsson
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start David Pastrnak or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01. Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, David Pastrnak or Mattias Samuelsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Samuelsson leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Pastrnak and Samuelsson done against each other?
- In 25 games against each other in our data, Pastrnak's team went 14–11. Pastrnak had 35 points (12 goals) and Samuelsson had 9 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →