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Who to start · 2025-26

David Pastrnak vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to David Pastrnak's 2.44.

Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Pastrnak has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left. We project MacKinnon for 2.8 ESPN points to Pastrnak's 1.9.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Pastrnak's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 72, Hits 86, Hardest shot 93.1.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Top skating speed 24.8, Goals above expected +3.0, Faceoffs won 681.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

David Pastrnak

2.44

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPastrnakMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.661.49
Assists (+1)0.930.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.46
Hits (+0.1)0.100.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Pastrnak vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

PastrnakMacKinnon
7Team record in 15 meetings8
19Points in those games18

Pastrnak 11G 8A, 61 SOG · MacKinnon 7G 11A, 61 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other1

Pastrnak's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Pastrnak's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24)

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Pastrnak's side)

10:58 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Pastrnak's side

Shot attempts
4–22
15.4%
Expected goals
0.0–1.6
0.3%
Goals
0–3

Games against each other

Games between David Pastrnak and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScorePastrnakMacKinnon
2025-10-25BOS 3–2 COL0G 1A 1S0G 2A 3S
2025-10-18BOS 1–4 COL0G 0A 0S2G 0A 8S
2025-01-25BOS 3–1 COL1G 2A 3S0G 0A 8S
2024-10-16BOS 5–3 COL1G 0A 5S0G 2A 1S
2024-01-18BOS 5–2 COL3G 0A 8S1G 0A 6S
2024-01-08BOS 3–4 COL0G 1A 4S0G 1A 4S
2022-12-03BOS 5–1 COL2G 0A 7S0G 0A 4S
2022-01-26BOS 3–4 COL0G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-02-21BOS 5–1 COL2G 1A 8S1G 0A 7S
2019-12-07BOS 1–4 COL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 5S
2019-10-10BOS 2–4 COL1G 1A 5S1G 1A 3S
2019-02-10BOS 2–1 COL0G 0A 2S1G 0A 6S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PastrnakMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

David Pastrnak

3games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RW
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to C
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.8 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start David Pastrnak or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to David Pastrnak's 2.44. Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, David Pastrnak or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Pastrnak and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Pastrnak's team went 7–8. Pastrnak had 19 points (11 goals) and MacKinnon had 18 (7 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Pastrnak or MacKinnon?
Against each other, Pastrnak has won 0 and MacKinnon 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →