Who to start · 2025-26
David Pastrnak vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.
Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Pastrnak has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Pastrnak's 1.8.
They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.
Pastrnak's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1027, Transition attempts /60 1.66, Luck Meter +8.
Aho's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 596, Fenwick 60.3%, Scoring chances 57.5%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
David Pastrnak
2.44
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, David Pastrnak has the edge.
| Points per game from | Pastrnak | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.66 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.93 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Pastrnak vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Pastrnak 16G 20A, 127 SOG · Aho 12G 16A, 68 SOG
Pastrnak's offensive zone 2–3 · neutral 0–0 · Pastrnak's defensive zone 0–0 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
Pastrnak blocked 0 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 2 of Pastrnak's.
On the ice against each other (Pastrnak's side)
7:45 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Pastrnak's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–13
- 27.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.8
- 27.7%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Pastrnak | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | BOS 5–6 CAR | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-11-17 | BOS 1–3 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-01 | BOS 2–1 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-04-05 | BOS 5–1 CAR | 3G 2A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-06 | BOS 2–3 CAR | 0G 1A 7S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-31 | BOS 2–8 CAR | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-04-09 | BOS 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-04 | BOS 4–1 CAR | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-24 | BOS 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2023-03-26 | BOS 4–3 CAR | 2G 0A 7S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-29 | BOS 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2022-11-25 | BOS 3–2 CAR | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 32 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
David Pastrnak
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs NYROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ WPGOpp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.7 win%Likely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start David Pastrnak or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, David Pastrnak or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.
- How have Pastrnak and Aho done against each other?
- In 32 games against each other in our data, Pastrnak's team went 17–15. Pastrnak had 36 points (16 goals) and Aho had 28 (12 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Pastrnak or Aho?
- Against each other, Pastrnak has won 2 and Aho 3 of their 5 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →