Who to start · 2025-26
Dougie Hamilton vs John Carlson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74.
Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games.
This week Hamilton has 1 game left; Carlson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Hamilton for 1.6 ESPN points to Carlson's 1.6.
John Carlson has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Hamilton's biggest edges: Hits 87, Penalty minutes 50, Shots on goal 203.
Carlson's biggest edges: Luck Meter +52, Top skating speed 22.5, On-ice PDO 1009.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dougie Hamilton
1.74
fantasy points per game
John Carlson
2.10
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hamilton | Carlson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.33 | 0.61 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.50 | 0.76 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hamilton vs Carlson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hamilton 8G 7A, 87 SOG · Carlson 5G 23A, 80 SOG
Hamilton blocked 2 of Carlson's shots; Carlson blocked 5 of Hamilton's.
On the ice against each other (Hamilton's side)
3:53 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Hamilton's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–3
- 70.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.3
- 54.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hamilton | Carlson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-27 | NJD 3–4 WSH | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-11-30 | NJD 5–6 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 3A 5S |
| 2024-11-23 | NJD 3–2 WSH | 1G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-10-19 | NJD 5–6 WSH | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-10-12 | NJD 5–3 WSH | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2023-11-10 | NJD 2–4 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-10-25 | NJD 4–6 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-04-13 | NJD 5–4 WSH | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-11-26 | NJD 5–1 WSH | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2022-10-24 | NJD 3–6 WSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-03-26 | NJD 3–4 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2022-01-02 | NJD 4–3 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 30 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dougie Hamilton
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs PHIOpp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.6 ptsOpp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
John Carlson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dougie Hamilton or John Carlson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74. Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dougie Hamilton or John Carlson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hamilton and Carlson done against each other?
- In 30 games against each other in our data, Hamilton's team went 13–17. Hamilton had 15 points (8 goals) and Carlson had 28 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →