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Who to start · 2025-26

Dougie Hamilton vs Mattias Samuelsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74.

Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.

This week Hamilton has 1 game left; Samuelsson has 1 left. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Hamilton's 1.6.

Mattias Samuelsson has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hamilton's biggest edges: Power-play share 54.7%, Offensive-zone time 43.4%, Power-play time per game 2:04.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 93, On-ice PDO 1036, Luck Meter +79.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dougie Hamilton

1.74

fantasy points per game

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mattias Samuelsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHamiltonSamuelsson
Goals (+2)0.420.44
Assists (+1)0.330.34
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.14
Hits (+0.1)0.120.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.500.93

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hamilton vs Samuelsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HamiltonSamuelsson
7Team record in 11 meetings4
4Points in those games2

Hamilton 0G 4A, 26 SOG · Samuelsson 1G 1A, 18 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other3

Hamilton blocked 0 of Samuelsson's shots; Samuelsson blocked 3 of Hamilton's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Hamilton's side)

26:03 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Hamilton's side

Shot attempts
23–22
51.1%
Expected goals
0.9–0.7
56.1%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Dougie Hamilton and Mattias Samuelsson
DateScoreHamiltonSamuelsson
2026-02-25NJD 1–2 BUF0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2025-12-21NJD 1–3 BUF0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-28NJD 5–0 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2025-02-02NJD 3–4 BUF0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-05NJD 3–1 BUF0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-04NJD 4–1 BUF0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2023-11-25NJD 7–2 BUF0G 2A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-10-27NJD 5–4 BUF0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2023-04-11NJD 6–2 BUF0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2022-11-25NJD 3–1 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-21NJD 2–5 BUF0G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HamiltonSamuelsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dougie Hamilton

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.6 pts

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts

FAQ

Should I start Dougie Hamilton or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74. Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dougie Hamilton or Mattias Samuelsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Samuelsson leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hamilton and Samuelsson done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Hamilton's team went 7–4. Hamilton had 4 points (0 goals) and Samuelsson had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →